Abbasabadi, N., Worthy, A., Zhang, Z., Zhao, Y., & Liu, Y. (2026). An AI-augmented urban building energy Modeling framework integrating physics-based simulation, machine learning, and computer vision: The CityEnerTwin UBEM module. Energy and Buildings, 369, Article 117984. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enbuild.2026.117984
Abstract
Urban Building Energy Modeling (UBEM) plays a critical role in evaluating urban decarbonization strategies, but its accuracy and scalability are often constrained by simplified building archetype, limited façade-level data, and the computational cost of large-scale scenario analysis. This study presents the CityEnerTwin UBEM module, an artificial intelligence (AI)-augmented, physics-based framework that integrates modular workflows for computer vision–based façade semantic enrichment, localized archetype development, predictive and surrogate machine learning (ML), and climate-informed analysis to support scalable and computationally efficient urban energy modeling. Specifically, these workflows combine validated Vision Transformer (ViT)-based façade feature extraction methods for deriving material properties and window-to-wall ratio (WWR) from street-view imagery, K-means clustering for localized archetype development, and two complementary ML modeling streams: predictive models trained on measured operational energy data and surrogate models trained on synthetic UBEM simulation data for rapid retrofit scenario evaluation. Demonstrated on the University of Washington campus, the framework reduced campus-scale simulation error relative to measured energy consumption from 27.8% to 15.8%, while image-derived WWR inputs improved agreement for representative buildings from 23% to 20%. Predictive modeling using Random Forest (RF) achieved a test R2 of 0.88 and identified occupancy, building scale, and geometric efficiency as the dominant predictors of energy demand. Surrogate modeling using an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) achieved a test R2 of 0.98 and identified roof insulation, WWR, and shading depth as the most influential retrofit parameters, enabling rapid retrofit scenario evaluation. The results demonstrate the potential of integrated physics-based and data-driven workflows to improve UBEM representation, scalability, and computational efficiency for urban decarbonization planning. As the analytical core of the broader CityEnerTwin platform, the module connects spatially indexed building data and model outputs with interactive visualization to support urban-scale energy analysis and decision making.
Keywords
Urban building energy Modeling; Physics-based simulation; Computer vision; Machine learning; Surrogate Modeling; Retrofit scenario analysis