Ashour, L., & Shen, Q. (2025). Unveiling post-pandemic commute choices amidst the rise of telework. Transportation Research. Part D, Transport and Environment, 149, Article 105068. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trd.2025.105068
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Abstract
The post-pandemic “new normal” is characterized by increased adoption of telework and a decline in transit use, with a growing uncertainty about the long-term effects of these trends. This study investigates the impact of telework adoption on commute mode choice and the factors influencing individual preferences in the new normal, using data from the 2022 Seattle Commute Survey, capturing mode choice on each day in a typical workweek, providing a mixture of modes and the frequency of use for each respondent. Using the Multiple Discrete-Continuous Extreme Value (MDCEV), the study provides timely insights into the factors influencing commute mode choice, highlighting the significant influence of sociodemographic, job-related, and built environment characteristics on mode choice and the nuanced difference between modes, raising concerns about potential inequities in the new normal. The findings highlight the need to prioritize access to public transit, adapt transportation infrastructure to telework, and address rising inequities.
Research Interests: Machine learning, work from home, urban economics, transportation policy, urban data science, economic inequality
Research Interests: Last-mile delivery and freight sustainability
The College of Built Environments hosted a two-day research showcase and PhD symposium honoring Anne Vernez Moudon’s legacy, bringing together students, faculty and industry leaders to reflect on her impact and highlight current research across urban design, mobility and public health.
Dong, B., Ding, S., Wu, L., & Li, X. (2025). Correction: Short-term natural disaster impacts on transportation infrastructure: a systematic review. Natural Hazards (Dordrecht). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-025-07679-1
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Profs. H.W. Chris Lee, Rachel Berney, and Lingzi Wu hosted a successful stakeholder kick-off meeting for the WSDOT-funded Shore Power: Bremerton Transportation Center eMobility Project. The meeting drew strong participation from Washington State Ferries, Kitsap Transit, the City of Bremerton, Kitsap County, Puget Sound Energy, the Port of Bremerton, and the U.S. Navy. Agencies engaged in productive discussions on mobility challenges, electrification opportunities, and multimodal planning needs at the Bremerton Transportation Center. This collaborative launch sets a strong foundation for…
Chen, P., Shen, Q., & Boardman, S. (2025). Road User Fees in the USA: Theory, Research, and Practice. Journal of Planning Literature. https://doi.org/10.1177/08854122251385953
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Abstract
This paper examines the theory, research, and practice of road user charge (RUC) in the USA. It explores neoclassical, behavioral, and institutional economic perspectives to assess RUC's environmental benefits, data privacy, public acceptance, and equity implications. A synthesis of recent studies highlights RUC's financial, environmental, social, and urban transportation system impacts. The examination of state and regional initiatives presents several critical challenges associated with the implementation of RUC systems. This study provides a nuanced understanding of RUC's potential and barriers as a sustainable transportation funding mechanism and offers insights into future research and policy development.
Ashour, L., & Shen, Q. (2025). An outlook on ride-sourcing price changes: Implications for future transit agency-TNC partnerships. Transport Policy, 173, Article 103790. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.103790
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Abstract
Ride-sourcing trip prices charged by transportation network companies (TNCs) have increased significantly compared to before the pandemic, causing concerns about the effectiveness of existing and planned transit agency-TNC partnerships. This paper explores three scenarios of future TNC price changes: (1) price trend extension using forecasting models, (2) price increase in response to local policy changes, and (3) TNC/taxi price convergence due to increased competition. We then investigate the impact of TNC price change on the prospect of transit agency-TNC partnerships, using a case study in the Seattle region. For the first scenario, we employ two time-series models, namely ARIMA and PROPHET, to forecast price changes within the next three years (Oct 2022–Oct 2025) using publicly available Chicago TNC trip data. The results show that TNC's daily average price would reach $3.23 per mile, increasing by 40 % from 2019 average rates. For the second scenario, we track significant policies that directly impacted TNC prices in Seattle and incorporate reported price increases. The resulting estimations indicate that TNC prices would increase by an extra 25 % in response to changes in the minimum wage law. For the third scenario, we use publicly available taxi trip data of the city of Chicago and forecast future taxi prices by estimating time-series models comparable to those for TNC prices. The analysis suggests that due to increased competition, TNC and taxi prices are converging and that the average TNC fare per mile could add another 50 % to the forecasted price if TNC and taxi prices become similar in the upcoming three years. These price changes are shown to have a considerable negative impact on the expected cost-effectiveness of transit agency-TNC partnerships. Although such partnerships could still provide many benefits, transportation planners and policymakers should carefully examine the implications of TNC price increases resulting from changing market and policy environments.
Ashour, L., & Shen, Q. (2025). Incorporating equity into the cost-effectiveness evaluation of new mobility: A comparative analysis. Transportation Research. Part D, Transport and Environment, 147, Article 104959. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trd.2025.104959
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Abstract
Public transportation in suburban areas faces challenges in providing efficient mobility. Transit Incorporating Mobility on Demand (TIMOD) services have emerged as a potential solution, yet equity considerations remain underexplored. This study incorporates equity into the cost-effectiveness evaluation of TIMOD services, analyzing two suburban areas in the Seattle metropolitan region where a TIMOD service is implemented. Using distributional cost-effectiveness analysis (DCEA), we assess the comparative costs of TIMOD, fixed-route transit, and drive-alone across different income groups and built environments. The study shows that although TIMOD services offer equity benefits for lower-income travelers, they are more equitable in high-density, low-income suburbs. In contrast, their cost-effectiveness is more limited in affluent, low-density areas. These insights highlight the importance of context-specific planning for TIMOD interventions and employ tools such as DCEA for transit agencies to prioritize the deployment of such services in areas where they can maximize social welfare and reduce transportation inequities.
Cai, M., Ashour, L. A., Shen, Q., & Chen, C. (2025). Incorporating mobility-on-demand into public transit in suburban areas: A comparative cost-effectiveness evaluation. Transportation Research. Part D, Transport and Environment, 144, Article 104775. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trd.2025.104775
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Abstract
Transit Incorporating Mobility-on-Demand (TIMOD) represents the public–private partnerships in which transit agencies incorporate MOD services to supplement fixed-route transit. This study evaluates the cost-effectiveness of TIMOD compared to buses, driving, and ride-hailing in suburban settings. For each alternative, it estimates the marginal costs for travelers, service providers, and transportation externalities, which constitute the marginal social cost. In the study cases, TIMOD is the least cost-effective option, with marginal social cost approximately 20% higher than TNCs and over three times higher than driving. For travelers, TIMOD costs more than driving but less than buses and ride-hailing when considering time value and fare. The cost of TIMOD declines as population density increases. Suburbs with less bus services and higher income residents benefit more from TIMOD, realizing greater reductions in time costs compared to buses. Transit agencies should explore alternative ways to improve mobility for disadvantaged suburban residents by offsetting driving costs and subsidizing TNCs fares.
Keywords
Transit Incorporating Mobility-On-Demand (TIMOD); Public transit; Transportation simulation; Suburban areas; Marginal social cost of travel